Understanding Supply & Demand in Today’s Phoenix Real Estate Market

Understanding Supply & Demand in Today’s Phoenix Real Estate Market

December 05, 20253 min read

When it comes to determining home value, there are two major forces that drive the Phoenix real estate market: supply and demand. These factors influence pricing, competition, and overall market conditions across the Valley.

Here in the Phoenix metro area, the market shifts constantly based on how many homes are available and how many buyers are actively looking. As a certified appraiser and owner of Benson Appraisals, I see daily how these trends impact home values in cities like Gilbert, Mesa, Chandler, Queen Creek, Scottsdale, and beyond.

What Is Supply & Demand in Real Estate?

In real estate, understanding supply and demand is crucial:

  • Supply = the number of homes currently for sale

  • Demand = how many buyers are competing for those homes

When demand is high and supply is low, prices rise.
When supply grows and demand weakens, prices soften.
When both remain balanced, the market stays stable.

This balance ultimately determines whether the Phoenix market favors buyers or sellers.

Current Market Overview

(You can easily update this section monthly inside Go High Level using MLS or Cromford Report data.)

Key indicators that influence the Phoenix housing market include:

  • Inventory levels — rising or falling

  • Buyer traffic — strong, moderate, or slowing

  • Sales-to-list price ratios — selling above or below list

  • Price reductions — increasing or decreasing

  • Days on market — longer or shorter

These metrics help appraisers and homeowners understand the direction of the market.

How Appraisers Analyze Supply & Demand

Many homeowners assume appraisals rely only on closed sales. But market conditions play an equally important role.

At Benson Appraisals, we examine:

Absorption Rate

How quickly homes in the area are selling.

Pending Sales

These reveal the most current buyer behavior and short-term trends.

Active Listings

These show your direct competition and help determine the upper limit of value.

Seller Concessions

More credits and concessions typically indicate softening demand.

List-to-Sale Price Patterns

These trends show whether buyers are offering aggressively or negotiating hard.

Together, these factors reveal the most probable price a buyer would pay in today’s Phoenix market.

A Real Appraisal Example

Recently, I appraised a home in East Mesa. Within the same subdivision, three similar homes were listed around the same time:

  • Two sat on the market for weeks with multiple price reductions

  • One sold quickly within just a few days

Why?

The fast-selling home aligned with buyer expectations—realistic pricing, attractive updates, and strong presentation. The other two were simply priced beyond what current buyer demand could support.

This is a clear example of how supply, demand, and market conditions—not just square footage—shape value.

Why Supply & Demand Matter to Homeowners

Whether you're:

  • Selling

  • Buying

  • Refinancing

  • Handling estate planning

  • Ordering a private appraisal

…understanding market supply and buyer demand helps you make smarter real estate decisions.

A professional appraisal gives you:

  • A clear, unbiased value

  • Data-driven insights

  • A realistic picture of today’s housing market

  • The confidence to move forward

Not last year’s headlines. Not neighborhood rumors. Real value based on today’s Phoenix market.

Final Thoughts

The Phoenix real estate market is always changing, and supply and demand can shift fast. When accuracy matters, Benson Appraisals provides clarity, expert analysis, and confidence you can rely on.

If you have questions or need a private appraisal, we’re here to help.

📩 Contact Benson Appraisals at 480-926-8528 or email us [email protected].

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